Driftproof

Reports

Every report Driftproof has published, newest first. 13 reports, 179 receipts, all of them dated and hash-verified.

Release drift report

Report 014: Claude Haiku 5.5 on release day, three skills

claude-haiku-4-5 claude-haiku-5-5

2026-10-07

Claude Haiku 5.5 on the three skills and cases of Reports 009, 011 and 013, beside Claude Haiku 4.5, each run three times.

Band plot for the first cell of Report 014. 0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1 separated without the skill 0.339 with the skill 0.677

Release drift report

Report 013: Claude Sonnet 5.5, the day after its release

claude-opus-5-5 claude-sonnet-5 claude-sonnet-5-5

2026-09-29

With the skill, Claude Sonnet 5.5 was never clearly higher or lower than Claude Opus 5.5 in nine results, and five of them had too few answers to tell.

Band plot for the first cell of Report 013. 0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1 separated without the skill 0.831 with the skill 0.907

Release drift report

Report 011: Claude Opus 5.5, the day after its release, three skills

claude-opus-5 claude-opus-5-5

2026-09-23

Claude Opus 5.5 on the three skills and cases of Report 009, one case each, beside a fresh Claude Opus 5 arm on the same harness.

Band plot for the first cell of Report 011. 0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1 overlapping without the skill 0.862 with the skill 0.901

Instrument comparison report

Report 009: three skills under two eval harnesses

claude-opus-5

2026-09-15

Three skills from one plugin, one case each, measured by Claude Code’s native plugin eval and by Driftproof, with the same SKILL.md bytes, task prompts and rubrics.

Band plot for the first cell of Report 009. 0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1 separated without the skill 0.783 with the skill 0.918

Release drift report

Report 008: the skill stabilises the floor, not the ceiling

claude-fable-5-1

2026-09-02

No separation was detected under the rule in the with_skill arm of either cell across the release.

Band plot for the first cell of Report 008. 0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1 overlapping without the skill 0.793 with the skill 0.865

Instrument re-measurement report

Report 007: the baseline is the noisy arm

claude-fable-5 claude-sonnet-5

2026-08-31

Three skills re-measured under generation sampling, with a corrected instrument.

Band plot for the first cell of Report 007. 0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1 overlapping without the skill 0.830 with the skill 0.885

Revision drift report

Report 006: the skill text moves, the substrate holds still

claude-fable-5 claude-sonnet-5

2026-08-28

Three cells, one per skill upstream had revised since Report #005 pinned it, and none of the three returned a verdict.

Band plot for the first cell of Report 006. 0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1 refused without the skill with the skill

Value report

Report 005: what does a skill cost to run?

claude-fable-5 claude-sonnet-5 gpt-5.6-sol

2026-08-18

In 20 of 30 skill × substrate pairs at least one case cleared the effect floor with separated bands: 18 with an improving case (5 of them also with a regressing one), 2 with only a regressing case.

Band plot for the first cell of Report 005. 0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1 overlapping without the skill 0.786 with the skill 0.889

Capability-gap report

Report 004: does encoded expertise still lift output on the frontier tier?

claude-fable-5 claude-opus-5

2026-08-16

3 durable · 5 tier-dependent · 0 regresses · 2 no effect

Band plot for the first cell of Report 004. 0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1 overlapping without the skill 0.798 with the skill 0.880

Release drift report

Report 003: do skill verdicts hold across a model release?

claude-opus-4-8 claude-opus-5

2026-08-12

2 regressed · 4 improved · 0 mixed · 4 with no separation detected over 10 skills.

Band plot for the first cell of Report 003. 0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1 overlapping without the skill 0.819 with the skill 0.887

Substrate durability report

Report 002: does a skill's benefit hold across substrates?

claude-sonnet-5 gpt-5.6-sol

2026-07-31

Cross-provider skill durability, not a model ranking.

Band plot for the first cell of Report 002. 0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1 overlapping without the skill 0.827 with the skill 0.825

Release drift report

Report 001: do skill verdicts hold across a model release?

claude-sonnet-4-6 claude-sonnet-5

2026-07-30

9 of 10 skills showed a separation detected under the rule on this model pair.

Band plot for the first cell of Report 001. 0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1 overlapping without the skill 0.824 with the skill 0.869

The seven report types

All seven use the same rule: a verdict is claimed only when the two ranges do not overlap and the move clears the floor. They differ in what moves underneath the skill, or, in the value report, in which axes are measured.

Release drift report

Asks whether a skill still helps when a newer version of the model underneath it comes out. Example: Report 014.

Instrument comparison report

Keeps the skills and their tasks the same and measures them with two instruments, two different test tools, saying what each can and cannot show. Example: Report 010.

Instrument re-measurement report

Changes neither, and runs again tests an earlier report published, with a corrected way of measuring. Example: Report 007.

Revision drift report

Keeps the model and the tools the same and changes only the skill's own text. Example: Report 006.

Value report

Keeps the model the same and asks what a skill costs to run, beside whether it helps. Example: Report 005.

Capability-gap report

Asks whether a skill still helps on a stronger model from the same company. Example: Report 004.

Substrate durability report

Asks whether a skill helps just as much on a different company's model, reached through that company's own command-line tool. Example: Report 002.

Writing

What happens to agent skills when the model changes: the launch essay, revised to read all thirteen reports together on what a moving model does to encoded expertise, and on what a corrected instrument did to three published results.