Release drift report
Report 008: the skill stabilises the floor, not the ceiling
claude-fable-5-1
2026-09-02
Both cells came back WITHIN NOISE.
Every report Driftproof has published, newest first. 8 reports, 123 receipts, all of them dated and hash-verified.
Release drift report
claude-fable-5-1
2026-09-02
Both cells came back WITHIN NOISE.
Instrument re-measurement report
claude-fable-5 claude-sonnet-5
2026-08-31
Three skills re-measured under generation sampling, with a corrected instrument.
Revision drift report
claude-fable-5 claude-sonnet-5
2026-08-28
Three cells, one per skill upstream had revised since Report #005 pinned it, and none of the three returned a verdict.
Value report
claude-fable-5 claude-sonnet-5 gpt-5.6-sol
2026-08-18
In 20 of 30 skill × substrate pairs at least one case cleared the effect floor with separated bands: 18 with an improving case (5 of them also with a regressing one), 2 with only a regressing case.
Capability-gap report
claude-fable-5 claude-opus-5
2026-08-16
3 durable · 5 tier-dependent · 0 regresses · 2 no effect
Release drift report
claude-opus-4-8 claude-opus-5
2026-08-12
2 regressed · 4 improved · 0 mixed · 4 within noise
Substrate durability report
claude-sonnet-5 gpt-5.6-sol
2026-07-31
Cross-provider skill durability, not a model ranking.
Release drift report
claude-sonnet-4-6 claude-sonnet-5
2026-07-30
9 of 10 skills moved beyond noise on this model pair.
All six use the same rule: a verdict is claimed only when the two ranges do not overlap and the move clears the floor. They differ in what moves underneath the skill, or, in the value report, in which axes are measured.
Asks whether a skill's verdict holds when the model version underneath it changes. Example: Report 008.
Asks whether it holds across a change of substrate: a different model behind a different vendor CLI. Example: Report 002.
Asks whether it holds on a higher tier of the same provider. Example: Report 004.
Holds the substrate still and asks what a skill costs to run, alongside whether it helps. Example: Report 005.
Holds everything underneath still and moves the skill's own text. Example: Report 006.
Moves neither, and re-runs cells an earlier report published on a corrected measuring device. Example: Report 007.
Three model releases later: what actually happens to agent skills: the launch essay, revised to read all eight reports together on what a moving model does to encoded expertise, and on what a corrected instrument did to three published results.